Euro / US Dollar EURUSD
The world's most liquid pair — where Europe meets Wall Street every day.
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London/NY Overlap Session Progress
Session Pip Movement Atlas
EURUSD — how many pips each session moves on average (90d data) Full breakdown on Analyst+What is Euro / US Dollar?
EUR/USD is the single most traded financial instrument on earth — over $1.1 trillion changes hands every trading day. It is the contest between the world's two largest economic blocs. Every macro data point from either side moves this pair. Mastering EURUSD is as close to reading the entire global economy as any trader can get.
What Makes EURUSD Move
Master these and you know 90% of what you needWhen Fed rates exceed ECB rates, USD yields more → capital flows to USD → EURUSD falls. The direction of policy divergence matters more than absolute levels.
Strong jobs = strong USD = EURUSD drops. A 50K beat vs forecast can move EURUSD 80 pips in under 10 seconds.
Wars in Europe hit EUR directly. The Ukraine war took EURUSD from 1.1500 to 0.9600 over 8 months.
Germany is 30% of Eurozone GDP. German Manufacturing PMI below 50 signals contraction and ECB rate cut pressure.
Hot US CPI → Fed stays aggressive → USD strengthens → EURUSD falls. Cold CPI → rate cut expectations → EURUSD rises.
Europe imports most energy. High gas/oil prices hurt European competitiveness and widen trade deficits.
Economic Events That Move EURUSD
Most explosive single event for EURUSD. 50K beat vs forecast = 80 pips in 10 seconds.
Press conference matters more than the decision. Lagarde's tone drives next week's trend.
Quarterly dot plot causes biggest surprises. Median projection shift = 150+ pips.
Asset Correlations
Geopolitics Playbook
EURUSD is uniquely sensitive to European risk because EUR is the local currency of the affected region.
Monitor Italian BTP vs German Bund spread daily. Above 250bps = Eurozone stress → EUR bearish.
Pro Tips
DXY is your primary EURUSD indicator — check it every morning before touching the pair.
Thursday is the most volatile EURUSD day: ECB meetings + weekly US jobless claims.
Policy divergence between Fed and ECB is the best macro trade in forex. When they diverge, trend-follow hard.
Never hold EURUSD through NFP without 80+ pip stops — the move happens in seconds.
Watch US 2-year Treasury yield — it leads EURUSD direction more accurately than the 10-year.